Baseballl

The Boys of Summer are back in full swing so i thought the blog deserved a new post having been barren since the Superbowl. Here are my picks for 6 divisions, they may be touch late but at the time of writing 28 teams still have 160 games to go.  There are a million other places on the web to get detailed previews, this is just a very (very) brief overview.

For previews and picks of all the games on Espn America go to http://ukusbetting.blogspot.com/

AL East

The Yankees are favs as always but i'll go with the Tampa Bay Rays who are a false price given the name recognition of the Yankees and Boston Red Sox.  Pick: Tampa Bay Rays 11/2 (VC)

AL Central

If the Detriot Tigers don't win this division it will be because Prince Fielder has burst and Miguel Cabrera has become a full time drunk. The price though reflects the chances of these happening.      Pick: Detroit Tigers 2/9 (PP)

AL West

A straight toss up between the LA Angels and the Texas Rangers.  Odds reflect that it should be tighter than a tight thing and i fully expect both teams to make the post season. I'll take the Texas bats to just edge it. Pick: Texas Rangers 11/10


NL West

Another tight call. The LA Dodgers price is well out of line at Stan James if you're lucky enough to be able to get a bet on there but i'm going to take the Giants pitching to take the division. Pick: San Francisco Giants 17/10 (Sky)

NL Central


The bookies have this as a 3 way contest, which is fair enough.  I'll take my chances of the Brewers pitching with the Reds being the main danger. Pick: Milwaukee Brewers 3/1 (VC)

NL East

The Braves choked their post season place as badly as the Red Sox did last year but not this time. Plus they have a player called Contanza. Pick: Atlanta Braves 7/1 (Boyle)

Enjoy the season and check out the update to my Beatles top 52 .

Season Wrap Up

Superbowl bets resulted in a 21 point profit as shown below

0.5 pts on each   1st TD scorer Tom Brady 33/1 , Eli Manning 80/1  -1
0.5 pts Victor Cruz Superbowl MVP 14/1  -0.5
0.5 pts  Highest Scoring Half, DRAW 22/1  +11
0.5 pts Owner 11/2, who will mvp thank first -0.5
1pts Pats leading at end of 3rd Qtr and lose  7/1  +7
New York Giants to win 4pts @ 5/4  +5 

add that to the 9.04 pt LOSS from the other play off bets  makes a profit of 11.96 pts for the play offs.

This on top of a very successful regular season of 29.85 pts profit to level stakes.

Barring an Act of God or a change of mind i will return next season for the NFL.  If the inspiration is with me an MLB previw may appear here along with other random posts throughout the spring and summer months. Any posts that do appear are sure to be plugged to death on twitter @schmilsson17

Thanks for reading

Superbowl Bets

I've decided to throw a few darts, afterall the Superbowl only happens once a year. We showed a regular season level stakes profit of 29.85 profits and my bets made at the start of the play offs will make a 9.04 pts loss if the Giants win and a 10.96 profit if the Patriots win. So as i've got a bit to play with here's what i'm betting


0.5 pts on each   1st TD scorer Tom Brady 33/1 , Eli Manning 80/1 
0.5 pts Victor Cruz Superbowl MVP 14/1
0.5 pts  Highest Scoring Half, DRAW 22/1
0.5 pts Owner 11/2, who will mvp thank first
1pts Pats leading at end of 3rd Qtr and lose  7/1
New York Giants to win 4pts @ 5/4

THE SUPERBOWL

Well i have nothing to add to the excellent preview from Mike Carlson  w/ Nat Coombs on this weeks Americarnage podcast. I will probably back the Giants for a level profit on the play off and post a few prob bets over the weekend. Here's Tom Petty's half time show from The 2008 Pats v Giants Superbowl to make your visit to this blog well worth while.

Championship Weekend

Sadly there will not be an in depth preview here like there normally is ;)  as I have been struck down by a severe debilitating illness and unable to provide my usual high quality opinions.  I don't think you are missing too much as from a quick look just about anything could happen in the NFC championship game and it's not one for putting down the big bucks on, save that for big bucks.  I think the Ravens are a bit of value in the AFC title game at 11/4. Yes they may have limped over the line against Houston last week but the Texans have a kwality defence and Flacco was not as bad as is being made out. The Pats may have seen off GOD and his Broncos last weekend but in the form of Ray Lewis they go against the plea bargaining DEVIL and i expect a much different outcome.  That said I will refrain from betting given my current state of health and will take a watching brief knowing I will be in a good position if the Pats win and an even better one if the Ravens do.  Good Luck in your bets this weekend.

P.S  Thanks in advance for the hundreds of get well wishes that i will no doubt be receiving in the coming days, i hope to be in a better state of health to bring you all a top class superbowl preview in 2 weeks time.

Divisional Round Wrap Up

A poor week which saw profits on Saturday's games and losses on Sunday's which gave a loss of 1.92 points, which when knocked off Wild card weekends profit gives a total loss thus far for the play offs of 1.04 pts. However the outright selections of  'New England  4/1  4 pts, Baltimore 8/1 3.5 pts, Houston   66/1  0.5 pts'  are doing ok.

NFL Playoffs - Divisional Round Weekend

Last week i was full of inspiration and by my low standards produced a decent preview of the weekends action. This week the inspiration has deserted me like it did Neil Young in the 1980's and popular music in general from around 1996. Here's this weeks schedule and I'll breeze through game by game

NFL Divisional Playoffs
Saturday, January 14
New Orleans @ San Francisco 49ers FOX 9:30PM - Kenny Albert, Daryl Johnston,
Denver @ New England Patriots CBS 1:00AM - Jim Nantz, Phil Simms

Sunday, January 15
Houston @ Baltimore Ravens CBS 6:00PM - Greg Gumbel, Dan Dierdorf
NYG @ Green Bay Packers FOX 9:30PM - Joe Buck, Troy Aikman, Pam Oliver


The many different previews i read before lifting their thoughts and picks onto here all say something like 'the Saints will score 24-27 points and i don't see the 49ers matching that', apart from the ones that don't that is.  I don't know who wins this one, It will probably be the Saints but i feel a much better bet is to go for the 2nd half to be the highest scoring at Even Money with Paddy power for 5 points.

 
TEBOWMANIA rolls into New England on Saturday night to take on Brady and Co,  that's company not Stompe.  The Patriots will win this game, they will take away any chance of the deep ball that Pittsburgh threatened Tebow into throwing and wait for McGahee to fumble or Jeebus himself to throw an interception. I don't think this one will ever be in much doubt but whether or not the Patriots cover will depend on if Belichick wants to stick the boot into the 2nd coming and how long Denver go before making the critical error.  I'm steering clear of the spread and going having 2.5 points on Aaron Hernandez to score a TD at 2.23 with pinnacle and 1.5 points on Tom Brady at 7/1 to do the same with Corals as Denver will look to take away Gronkowski the Pats like a QB sneak at the goal line

It was either this or Bibi Jones, but this is a family blog.

The first game on Sunday sees The Texans go to fortress MT&T Bank stadium to take on Baltimore. I've made my mind up that Baltimore are winning this and rather than make up 115 pages of guff to attempt to justify my decision I'll do it in a few lines.  I wasn't impressed with Houston last week, particularly in the first half  when the Bengals could have built themselves a decent lead if they hadn't been in full self destruct mode.  The Ravens old guard on defence will be well rested (as long as they've been sat at home not killing anyone) and looking to terrorise and befuddle TJ Yates while not letting Arian Foster beat them by himself, Boldin is back after minor surgery to give Flacco his no1 receiver back which will take a little bit of defencive pressure off Ray Rice. The Ravens won 8 of their 12 wins (8/8 at home) by at least 8 points including a 29-14 win over the Texans, I'm expecting a similar outcome this time with the Ravens winning by a couple of scores.  Baltimore -7.5 , 5 points @ 10/11 (Gen)

Ravens are aiming high, but not in the Ricky Williams sense

The final game of the weekend is the cool pick for an upset with the Giants going to Green Bay. Well us here at kjbetting (me) are not cool and we're not stupid either. Green Bay won in New York by the dreaded 38-35 scoreline, having to drive to kick a field goal in the last 2 minutes having gone to sleep to let the Giants back into it.   The Giants are supposed to have 'momentum' having scraped their way to the division title and victory in a pretty uninspiring game vs Atlanta, but I'd much rather have a 15-1 record, a bye week home advantage and Aaron Rodgers.
Green Bay -7.5, 6 points @ 10/11 (Gen)

Big Ben being aggressively pursued by a Clay