Friday, 7 September 2012

NFL season preview & Week 1

The NFL returned on Wednesday night this year and not Thursday as usual, (apparently Barack is more important the NFL season opener) meaning this is 2 days late and not 1 like it should be.  As time is not as freely available to me as it was last year the write ups may become ever barer than they were last year but rest assured that the necessary research and guesswork has gone into every selection made.

Romo was in Cruz control Wednesday night as opposed to the sloppy Giants


The aim of this blog is not only to make some cash (as we did very well last year season-wrap-up.html   regular-season-wrap-up.html ) but to also give us an interest in the majority of the games every weekend.

This season the same picks will continue with records kept based based on tirxies on 3 money lines/3 handicaps/3 totals, but also a Trixie on the 3 UK TV games each Sunday for those who like to watch the games and have a casual bet.  ON TOP OF THAT   I'll also be highlighting the STAR BETS of each weekend.

This season there is a game EVERY Thursday night, I'll probably miss that game most weeks due to random nature of the games where players are coming off 3 days rest but if i do have a pick in those games it will be up on here and advertised like buggery at https://twitter.com/tompetty17 .

ENJOY THE SEASON


WEEK 1 MONEYLINES

New England Patriots 4/9 @ Tennessee 
  Brady will have too much in his Locker for Jake to keep up with
Buffalo Bills 13/10 @ New York Jets
  Just look at the Jets offence!!!!. Mario Williams could have field day
Arizona Cardinals 24/19 vs Seattle Seahawks
   Always a sucker for a home dog vs Seattle


Rex Ryan, coming toe-wards the end of the line in New York

HANDICAPS

Houston Texans -11.5 vs Miami Dolphins 
  The Dolphins O makes the Jets O looks like the Dolphins O of the 80's (if that makes sense)
*Detriot Lions -7.5 vs St Louis Rams
  Only complacency would see Stafford, Johnson, Burleson and co failing to cover agains tthe Rams limp offence.

*Chicago Bears -9.5 vs Indianapolis Colts
  First game in the NFL at Soldier field, Hard Luck

all 10/11 
Mrs Rysn Tannehill, The Dolphins wont win many games but Ryan will still be smiling


TOTALS

Philadelphia Eagles @ Cleveland Browns UNDER 42.5
   The Browns wont score many but could limit the Eagles.

*Cincinnati @ Baltimore OVER 41 
    No Suggs this year could lead to a leaky D in Baltimore, but at home theey have plenty of  offence to counter it.

San Diego Chargers @ Oakland Raiders UNDER 47
    This game could be played on the ground, particulaly the Raiders who wont want to put games in Carson Palmers hands unless they really have to.


all 10/11

Should feel at home in the Dawg Pound

TV TRIXIE

Chicago Bears -10 vs Indianapolis Colts   68/67
San Francisco @ Green Bay OVER 46.5    15/16
Denver Bronocs 11/14 vs Pittsburgh

Pinnacle Prices, 6.98 treble

No Danny this season on C4 so Mike might get space on the sofa


STAR BETS

Chicago Bears -9.5 vs Indianapolis Colts
Detriot Lions -7.5 vs St Louis Rams
Cincinnati @ Baltimore OVER 41 

all 10/11





DIVISION BY DIVISION PREVIEW

AFC EAST
If the Pats (2/7) don't walk it i shall eat my metaphorical hat. You could make an argument that Tim Tebow is the 2nd best QB in the division and not get laughed out the room, that's how bad the other teams are, and the rest of their offense's aren't much better.

AFC NORTH
See last years preview, nothing much has changed, and i'll stick with the Ravens @ 13/8

AFC SOUTH
The Texans (Corals 2/7 gen 1/5) should walk this division as the odds suggest.  They've lost Super Mario Williams to the Bills but on the other side of the ball have Matt Shaub back and should have far too much for their divisional rivals who are the in the beginnings of being works in progress.

AFC WEST
The hardest division to call in the AFC.  I'll take a shot on the Raiders (37/5) given there are reason to doubt their rivals, (Manning health/outdoors, Norv, Cassell) and keeps everything crossed that Darren McFadden keeps fit for the whole season.

NFL EAST
The Cowboys got off to a great start on Wednesday night with a win over the Giants in the Meadowland, mainy due to the fact that Romo didn't Romo thing up after a pick in the first half. They should really have won the division last year but for a December mini implosion.  I think after a great start they'll get over the line this time at 2/1

NFL NORTH
This should all be about the Pack 1/2. Da Bears could make it interesting with the Lions pushing them. The Vikings can also give anyone a game on their day, sadly it's only their day 4 days a year.

NFL SOUTH
This is the Falcons 6/4 year, if they dont win the division this year they never will. The Saints have Sean Payton banned for the year, a defence too scared to tackle since the Roger Goddell put bounty's on their heads, and Drew Brees now cares about an extra few million he'll never spend more than the City of New Orleans.  Atlanta have Roddy and Julio down by the endzone and Michael Turner hopefully has one big year left in him  *Pick stands even on the back of the overturning of suspensions

NFL WEST
Seattle have the making of a decent team but wont be strong enough to seriously challenge the 49ers 8/15
Graeme Nash give his thoughts on Seahawks training camp
TOM PETTY SONG OF THE WEEK
SIR MACCA SONG OF THE WEEK

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