NFL Week 17

The regular season concludes this weekend and this blog will be in profit unless i go all Cliff Clavin and go all in when i don't know the answer . Lucky I'm not going to and here are week 17's picks. Drop by next week for my play off picks.

Over 2012 i shall be contributing the list of my top 52 Beatles songs on the excellent blog http://www.blackpoolboy.blogspot.com/  as well as a song by the late great Harry Nilsson each week. These songs will also be posted on a significant delay on the music wall of this site which appears not to have been updated since the NFL season began.

MONEYLINE PICKS
Tennessee Titans 1.71 @ Houston
The titans have a semi realistic shot of making the play offs. Houston on a 2 game losing run and locked into the no3 seed.

New York Giants 1.61 vs Dallas
This is Dallas in a must win game on the road, prime time

Baltimore Ravens 1.8 @ Cincinnati
The Bengals have beaten 1 team currently with a winning record all season. For me this game is the difference between Baltimore making the Superbowl and not. Ray and Ricky will run them to the promised land.

Tony has NO HAND

HANDICAP PICKS
Atlanta -11.5 vs Tampa   2.010
A game that might end up meaningless to Atlanta, but then again it might not.  Tampa are the definition of a team Free Fallin and have been playing for the off season for 6 weeks. No reason to think this will change now.

Indianapolis +3.5 @ Jacksonville 1.943
Would the Jags want the Colts to land one the top prospects ever?? 

New York Jets +3 @ Miami   2.01
No bush for Miami, and when you have no Bush you're easy to lick

TOTALS PICKS
Bears @ Vikings OVER 41  1.971
McCown can nail a back up job somewhere in 2012 with another solid show here vs one of the leagues worst defences.  The Vikes have scored plenty of points at home, also conceded sack loads.

Lions @ Packers OVER 45.5  1.952
Reports of bad wind in Green Bay have seen the line for this game fall 4 pts at the time of writing. I you're put off by this take over 33.5 in the Pittsburgh game instead but for the records the original pick stands

Chiefs @ Broncos OVER 37.5   1.952
Orton vs Tebow. I'm expecting Orton to pass pass pass to try and show he's better than the big Tebowski leading to a shoot out, relatively speaking

Brady Quinn - The Back up

AFTER 16 WEEKS
Trixies, 36.3 pts profit from 204 pts stakes, an ROI of  17.8%
Singles, 27.74 pts prodit from 147 pts staked, an ROI of 21.3%

NFL SATURDAY, WEEK 16 PICKS

A treble landed again last week taking trixie profits to 42.47 and singles profits to 28.39 points for the season. Straight onto this weeks Christmas EVE SATURDAY, games.

MONEYLINE PICKS

EAGLES 2.14  @ Cowboys
GIANTS 2.3 @ Jets
CHARGERS 2.2 @ Lions

3 in 1 summaries this week.  The thoery on the Eagles pick is 2 fold.  Firstly, if The Giants win against the Jets it will render the game meaningless and the Cowboys would be wise to go easy on their key players for what will be a 'win and you're in' game  at New York in New Jersey in week 17.  Secondly, if the Jets win then this becomes a first rate chance for the Cowboys to choke.  Dallas are not in the greatest form either, particularly on defence giving up an average of 24 points per game in the last 5. On the offensive side, Felix Jones is doubtful and Emmitt Smith is reported waiting by his phone.
The Jets are hardening as favourites for the visit of the Giants, only reason i can think of why that might be is that Rexy boy is sucking off the toes and a few big players in Vegas.  Too much emphasis has been put on last weeks G men no show vs the Redskins.  Manning should be able to find one of Cruz, Nicks & Manningham every time he steps back to pass.
Chargers pick is going back to the tried and tested method of opposing Detriot again any decent team. 

Revis Can't cover up here.

HANDICAP PICKS

BRONCOS -2.5 @ Bills
CHIEFS -2.5 vs Raiders
49ERS -2 @ Seahawks

TOTALS PICKS

DOLPHINS @ PATRIOTS UNDER 48
JAGUARS @ TITANS OVER 40
FALCONS @SAINTS OVER 52.5

NFL WEEK 15

Got back on the winning trail last weekend thanks to a late comeback from the Giants and a late late late touchdown for the Houston Texans who along with the Crads (half Card half Crap, one of @Carlsonsports old ones that) gave us 3 moneyline winners out of 3. Others disappointed but one mustn't get greedy.

MONEYLINE PICKS
Detriot Lions 1.84 @ Oakland
New York Jets 2.3 @ Philly
Baltimore Ravens 1.714 @ San Diego

HANDICAP PICKS
St Louis +7.5 vs The Bengals  (1.813)
Seattle + 4  @ Da Bears
New Orleans -6.5 @ The Vikings

TOTALS PICKS
New England @ Denver OVER 46
Cleveland @ Arizona OVER 37 (1.877)
Carolina @ Houston UNDER 45.5 (1.893)

NFL WEEK 14

HANDICAP PICKS

New Orleans Saints -3.5 @ Tennessee
Big game for the Titans who need a 3 game swing if they're going to pip the Texans to the division.  They're also bang in the race for the final play off spot along with 4 other teams on 7-5 so this is indeed a huge game for the former Oilers, their biggest since the 41-7 loss to the Texans coming off a bye. The Saints need to keep winning too, and Brees should have too much ammo through the air to make sure they do

Brees shows where he will have the Titans D

Miami Dolphins -3 vs Philly
Mike Vick is back but Maclin is doggin it this week. VY wasn't all that bad during his stint under centre  If Miami hadn't thrown a couple of games away early on they'd have a sniff of the play offs but they're still playing hard to try and save Sparano's job, Philly don't seem to bothered about big Andy Reid.

Kansas City Chiefs +11 @ New York Jets
The Sanchize giving 11 against a quality defence, i don't think so Tim .

MONEYLINE PICKS
The moneyline picks have been a bit disappointing as of late, but as a famous rocker once said, 'i wont back down' so here's my picks

Houston Texans 2.27 @ Bengals
The Texans named Yates the starter the rest of the season but i need to know if he can cone through in the big pressure situations before jumping on the bandwagon.  The saving grace for the Texans this week is that the Bengals are slowing but surely, free fallin with 1 win in 4 and Cincinnati, you got lucky in that one.

The Texans open up the play book

Arizona Cardinals 2.66 vs 49ers
Playing through the 49ers D has being trying to break through Walls so far this season but the Cards will pull all the stops to try and thwart their division rival. If they fail they'll go down swingin and might get lucky, because even the losers get lucky sometimes.

New York Giants 2.88 @ Dallas
Tony Romo is mystery man, awesome record in November, shocking in December. It's almost all or nothin for New York, win and they control their destiny, lose and they're all but done. I sense that the usual Cowboys December surrender continues here.

TOTALS PICKS

New England @ Washington  UNDER 48.5
Atlanta @ Carolina UNDER 47.5
Buffalo @ San Diego UNDER 48

NFL WEEK 13 - come for the tips, stay for the pictures

Standards are slipping. 2 poor weeks with no trebles up and only 1 double means that Trixie profits are down to just 6.3 points. Level stakes singles are still showing a 21.7 pts profit so it's not all doom and gloom. It's not just the quality of the tips that's fallen but also the quality of the write ups. New readers (if there are any) should feel lucky that I've lasted this long, I've normally resorted to posting vintage music now now.......  what? i did that last week. ANYWAY here are this weeks tips, and a few pictures.


HANDICAP PICKS
New England Patriots -20 vs Indianapolis
The Pats have won by 21, 31 and 18 the last 3 weeks, all those games against teams that have actually won games this year.  The Pats will love humiliating them damn colts.

35-0 and he'll still want blood

San Diego Chargers -3 @ Jacksonville
Gabbert looks worse as time goes on, Del Rio and his leather jacket have been given the boot, Norv might get left behind if the Chargers lose this one but i think he'll cling on for a little while yet.

New Orleans Saints -8.5 vs Detroit
Life wont be easy in the 'Mercedez Benz' superdome for the Lions without the boy named Suh.

No i didn't, No i didn't, No i didn't, No i didn't, ok i did.

MONEYLINE PICKS
Atlanta 1.714 @ Houston
Houston are officially playing this game with no QB and Atlanta has one of the best run defences in the NFL

Dirty Rotten Scoundrel

Denver 2.150 @ Minnesota

BELIEVE

Dallas 1.495 @ Arizona

Too Sweet!!

TOTALS
Carolina @ Tampa OVER 47
Carolina has the worst D in the NFL.  Tampa's is not much better
Green Bay @ NY Giants OVER 52
If the Giants don't start this game well there could very well be some EARLY MOANING  from the Giants fans

ALL SUPPORT MORT

Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh OVER 42.5
The Bengals defence has become a little bit leaky in recent weeks, even Cleveland got 20 points