Saturday, 31 December 2011

NFL Week 17

The regular season concludes this weekend and this blog will be in profit unless i go all Cliff Clavin and go all in when i don't know the answer . Lucky I'm not going to and here are week 17's picks. Drop by next week for my play off picks.

Over 2012 i shall be contributing the list of my top 52 Beatles songs on the excellent blog http://www.blackpoolboy.blogspot.com/  as well as a song by the late great Harry Nilsson each week. These songs will also be posted on a significant delay on the music wall of this site which appears not to have been updated since the NFL season began.

MONEYLINE PICKS
Tennessee Titans 1.71 @ Houston
The titans have a semi realistic shot of making the play offs. Houston on a 2 game losing run and locked into the no3 seed.

New York Giants 1.61 vs Dallas
This is Dallas in a must win game on the road, prime time

Baltimore Ravens 1.8 @ Cincinnati
The Bengals have beaten 1 team currently with a winning record all season. For me this game is the difference between Baltimore making the Superbowl and not. Ray and Ricky will run them to the promised land.
Tony has NO HAND
HANDICAP PICKS
Atlanta -11.5 vs Tampa   2.010
A game that might end up meaningless to Atlanta, but then again it might not.  Tampa are the definition of a team Free Fallin and have been playing for the off season for 6 weeks. No reason to think this will change now.

Indianapolis +3.5 @ Jacksonville 1.943
Would the Jags want the Colts to land one the top prospects ever?? 

New York Jets +3 @ Miami   2.01
No bush for Miami, and when you have no Bush you're easy to lick


TOTALS PICKS
Bears @ Vikings OVER 41  1.971
McCown can nail a back up job somewhere in 2012 with another solid show here vs one of the leagues worst defences.  The Vikes have scored plenty of points at home, also conceded sack loads.

Lions @ Packers OVER 45.5  1.952
Reports of bad wind in Green Bay have seen the line for this game fall 4 pts at the time of writing. I you're put off by this take over 33.5 in the Pittsburgh game instead but for the records the original pick stands

Chiefs @ Broncos OVER 37.5   1.952
Orton vs Tebow. I'm expecting Orton to pass pass pass to try and show he's better than the big Tebowski leading to a shoot out, relatively speaking
Brady Quinn - The Back up
AFTER 16 WEEKS
Trixies, 36.3 pts profit from 204 pts stakes, an ROI of  17.8%
Singles, 27.74 pts prodit from 147 pts staked, an ROI of 21.3%

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