NFL WEEK 1

Here's how it's going to go, I'm going to pick 3 each week for a money line Trixie (3 doubles & the treble).  These will tend to be what i think are the 3 best odds against shots of the week as i don't like Trixie's when 2 winners returns a loss.  I'll will also pick 3 handicap and totals bets each week. Be warned if you're looking for in depth analysis on the NFL this might not be the blog for you, if you wants some picks with the occasional funny (or ffs) then it might be.


PICK 1 - PITTSBURGH STEELERS @ Baltimore Ravens  15/13


Both the Steelers and the Ravens will have set their sights high (but not in the Ricky Williams sense)* but the Ravens might be getting stoned in the local press on Monday after going down and getting a pounding from Big Ben and the Steelers.  Yes i know i have picked the Ravens to win the division but Big Ben hasn't lost to the Ravens for 3 years and the Steelers have won their last 8 season openers.  These 2 teams are very similar but i think Pittsburgh might just be a bit more similar, they'll be 15 games for Baltimore to get ahead.

Ben the toilets are that-a-way

PICK 2 - TENNESSEE TITANS @ Jacksonville Jaguars  5/4

The seats will be out in force to support the Jags in the season opener. It's a make or hit the road season for Del Rio and he's already lost the plot by cutting David Garrard on Tuesday. CJ2K and the serviceable (not like that) Matt Hasselbeck should be strong enough to overcome MJD on his own

Serviceable

 PICK 3 - BUFFALO BILLS @ Kansas City  11/5

Matt Cassel stated that 'everything is a go' when asked about his rib injuty a couple of days ago, but by 4pm Sunday eveything might be a no if the Bills spring a surprise.  This one is based on a few things,
1.The Chiefs were 0-4 in pre season & Fitzpatrick had a perfect rating in week 3 vs the Jags, like they matter. 2. The Buffalo D has a new look to it to try and stop the run, and lets face it, it must be better.
3.The chiefs do have the best running back in the NFL in Jamal Charles but one threat they wont have to face is first round pick Jon Baldwin, who is a slugger like his late uncle Mike and broke his thumb in a fight with team mate Ken Thomas Jones.
This rock solid reasoning along with the pressure of an expectant arrowhead crowd are enough for me to have a dabble on the bills to win this baw game.

People who annoy you ?

HANDICAP PICKS

Seattle Seahawks +5.5,  Carroll's boys to leave the 9ers standing Stills
Philadelphia Eagles -4.5, Dome stadium ideal for Vick to dish out a pounding
New York Jets -4, Rex Ryan brings new meaning to the in phrase 'suck for luck'

all 10/11 (1.91)

TOTALS PICKS

NE@MIA OVER 45.5
PHI@STL OVER 43.5
DET@TB OVER 41

all 10/11


* copyright Mike Carlson 2001