Sunday, 25 September 2011

NFL Week 3

Following the advice given would have generated a profit of 18.02 points if you'd have place 3 Trixie's each week and 8.62 points profit if you'd backed all 18 selections to level stakes.  Now I've pointed that out onto the inevitably (but hopefully not) disappointing week 3 picks.

TOTALS PICKS

Mia @ Cle  Under 41   Battle of average QB's.  Hopefully they slug it out in a low scoring run fest.

Det @ Minn Under 45  Not sure the Vikes can score enough against this legit Detroit D

NYG @ Phil Under 48.5  Vick should play but is not 100%. Manning will play and is terrible


MONEYLINE PICKS


Atlanta Falcons 11/10 @ Tampa Bay
Straight to the point, I don't see why Tampa are favourites for this one. They lost their home opener in week 1 and struggled passed the McNabb lead Vikings last weekend. Atlanta likewise lost their first game being on the receiving end of a damn good thrashing from da bears but bounced back with a HUGE win over of the Eagles on SNF in which QB Matt Ryan threw 4 td while Mike Vick ended the game on the sidelines concussed and spitting up blood like a little kitty cat. The Bucs have struggled thus far with their passing game, imparticularly getting Mike Williams (who is looking like a major fantasy bust) involved, and if the Falcons can prevent big plays from rb Blount they should win this one quite comfortably.

Dawg that Vick couldn't put down
St Louis Rams 9/5  vs Baltimore
The Ravens were 6 point favourites going into last weeks game at the Titans, They lost that one 26-13 despite the Titans only managing 74 yards rushing over 29 carries.  This took a bit of the hype away from their week 1 trouncing of the Steelers which may have been down to Big Ben's shocking game more than the Ravens.  Sam Bradford impressed me Monday against the Giants converting some big 4th downs but eventually the absence of star running back Steven Jackson became too much to overcome.  Hopefully he'll be back this week and make the 9/5 on offer look HUGE

Difference Maker
Oakland Raiders 17/10 vs New York Jets
Not sure why the Jets are bothering to play since Rex Ryan has already crowned their asses . Oakland looked good last week at Buffalo before eventually tiring after their short week and long west coast to east coast trip. Hopefully they'll have freshened up and will avoid the mistakes made by both Dallas (which cost them the game) and Jacksonville (which made it a blow out) and McFadden and Co can put 20+ points on the board again.


HANDICAP PICKS

Carolina Panthers -3.5  vs Jacksonville - According to Jags coach Alberto Del Rio 2 weeks ago Luke McCown gave the Jags “the best chance to win.”.  They did win week  1 vs the Titans but got thrashed by the Jets last week,  and so Luke McCown is no more and Blaine Gabbert is in at QB.  New superstar QB Cam Newton will have to deal the pressure of being favoured to win for the first time in the NFL this week, don't see any reason why he wont. Steve Smith also appears to be BACK, if he ever went away.

Back


San Diego Chargers -14.5 vs Kansas City Chiefs - 41-3 and 48-7 are the Chiefs first 2 results. The Chargers will have to make as many silly errors as they did at New England for this one to be at all close.



Tennessee Titans -7 vs Denver  - Denver have been run over for 262 yards (28th in NFL) the first 2 weeks. Prime time for CJ2K to get back in the groove

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