Wednesday, 19 October 2011

NFL WEEK 7

The big question this week is, can the Dolphins win ?? The big announcement is that KJBETTING has its own twitter account which is unsurprisingly @kjbetting . Look out for bonus tips and a link to the occasional Harry Nilsson song.

Denver 11/10 @ Miami
Tebowmania will run wild on the Dolphins defence, which got absolutely no pass rush on the Sanchize Monday night.  If they are even half as bad Tebow should find enough holes to make a few big plays. Denver coming off a bye should have little trouble containing Matt Moore whose only pass on Monday was one to Brandon Marshall.
Tebow 3:16 says I just whooped your ass
San Diego 4/5 @ New York Jets
The Jets win on Monday night was more to do with the Dolphins deficiencies than actual good play from the Jets. Facts are that the Dolphins strolled down to the Jets red zone 3 times in the first 20 minutes only to make a pigs ear of all 3 opportunities. I'm firmly of the belief that the Jets are not a good team and wont make the play offs this year and this game should rubber stamp that belief.


Atlanta 13/8 @ Detroit
The lions lost their first game last week, they'll lose their 2nd game this week if Best doesn't break off a couple of huge plays. 13/8 is very generous for the better team.

HANDICAP  PICKS

Green Bay -9 @ Minnesota
Looking good against da Bears defence that had stopped trying and the Green Bay Packers are 2 totally different propositions. Aaron Rodgers will give the Vikes something to Ponder.


New Orleans -14 vs Indianapolis
Sean Payton could have 2 shattered legs and 14 still wouldn't be enough, and to continue the wrestling theme this is how you no sell f*cking your legs up.

Baltimore -7.5 @ Jacksonville 
The Ravens have only once failed to score less than 29 and only once thus far conceded more than 20. The jags have only scored 20 once, and then the conceded 30.

TOTALS BETS

Pittsburgh @ Arizona  OVER 41.5
St Louis @ Dallas OVER 43.5
Chicago @ Tampa @ Wembley UNDER 44
New Wembley appearences. Tampa Bay 2 Liverpool 0

SEASON UPDATE

The weekly bets so far are showing a 37.1% ROI (+26.68 pts) if you picked 3 weekly trixies and a 31.1% ROI (+16.75 pts)  if every tip was backed for level stakes singles. I think that's pretty good  given that i pick 9 different games each week rather than concentrate on just a few.

I doubt anyone read them but here are my tips for the top rusher and receiver  that i posted before the season began (advised ew singles), and how they currently stand.

Top Rusher
MJD 16/1            572 yds (3rd)
McFadden 25/1   610 (1st)
Turner 12/1          499 (8th)
Bradshaw 66/1    390 (13th)

Top Receiver
Wallace 12/1        612 yds (4th)
C Johnson 10/1    564 (5th)
Bowe 33/1           420* (14th)
Marshall 33/1       424* (13th)

Welker leads with 785
* Had their bye week

My AFC division picks were posted HERE  and NFC picks HERE . I think it's fair to say i must've been under the influence when i made the NFC picks but the AFC picks look good.

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