Wednesday, 26 October 2011

NFL Week 8

Sunday edits are in red . Follow @kjbetting  for bonus pre game and in running tips

Last week was a nearly week for the column.  The Chargers blew a 2 score lead in New Jersey and the Rams blew a first & goal from the 1 at the end of the game to keep the score under the points spread.   Having said that if you backed level stakes singles on all 9 picks you'd have made a 1.445pt profit.  For reference below is the level stakes profits/losses of trixies & singles so far this season.

***correction: spread trixies are actually +11.44 making the trixie total +27.34 pts ***8


TOTALS PICKS

New England @ Pittsburgh OVER 50.5
I smell a shootout, or a Pats rout, either way it goes over.
San Diego @ Kansas City OVER 44
The super Chargers have scored 20+ in every game this season but despite that fact Rivers has been getting some flack this past week, don't know why myself, maybe disgruntled fantasy owners.  The Chiefs have scored 20+ in their last 3 games through  a combination of offence and defence. I can easily see Bowe and V Jax having HUGE games here.
 
No caption neccesary
New Orleans @ St Louis OVER 47.5 
The Rams have robbed me in garbage time 2 weeks in a row, don't do it again.  Boller is starting again for the Rams does shake my confidence in this pick a bit as the Saints probably wont need to score more than 20 to win the gameIt will most likely be the same as last week, they will score as many as they like. If i was making the picks now i'd probably take another game to go unders, a game which will be revealed on twitter @kjbetting .


HANDICAP PICKS


NY Giants -10 vs Miami 
If you've seen Miami's offence recently you should understand this pick.
Tony pointing himself to the exit
 Buffalo Bills -5.5 vs Washington
The Skins are dropping like flies. The Bills of Toronto should be ok in the Rodgers center with Fred Jackson running wild on Washington, who could be crazy dark horses for the Andrew Luck sweepstakes.
San Francisco 49ers -8 vs Cleveland
San Francisco are coming off a bye week just like the first 2 picks going up agaist the 22nd ranked pass offence and the 29th  rushing offence. The browns may be no1 against the pass but GORE GORE GORE should be able to cover the spread.


MONEYLINE PICKS


Seattle Seahawks 13/10 vs Cincinnati
The Seahawks odds against any non 'elite' team is normally value. The Hawks will turn up the volume on the Bengals rookie QB, literally.

Dallas Cowboys 8/5 @ Philadelphia
The Cowboys have been a popular pick this week amongst the 'experts', popular for an 8/5 shot anyway, so they should be curtanties as mort would say, yes ?
Minnesota  8/5 @ Carolina
The best running back in the league taking on a team thats 2-5. IF the vikes can cover Steve Smith effectively they've a great shot at winning this game because Cam Newton will make mistakes. I think he's overhyped based on his fantasy stats rather than real life play.


all lines as at 23:22 on Wednesday

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